What Does the Future Hold for Java?
Experts ponder ways to compete with Microsoft .Net to win in the world of Web services.
Stacy Cowley, IDG News Service
NEW YORK -- The biggest challenge facing Java is a marketing one, agreed panelists pondering the issue of "Supercharging Java with Web Services" at a Web Services Edge keynote here Tuesday. The Web Services Edge conference is being held alongside TechXNY/PC Expo this week at New York's Javits Convention Center.
Most outspoken of the group was Javalobby founder and president Rick Ross, who harshly criticized the infighting of major Java developers and suggested that Java technology needs a concerted marketing push from its deep-pocketed stakeholders.
Microsoft has effectively undermined Java, Ross said, drawing a parallel between the "Java War" and ice skating's most notorious scandal, Tonya Harding's involvement in the 1994 attack on her rival, Nancy Kerrigan.
"When Nancy had her knee whacked by that guy Tonya hired, nobody expected her to be able to go out and win. Java has to come back from a position of disadvantage created by Microsoft. We need to get back," Ross said.
Fighting Back
Microsoft is about to blitz the software world with its .Net framework, and the Java community needs a counterattack plan, he argued.
Web services took a backseat as the panelists discussed ways to advance the Java cause.
Microsoft has "raised the bar" on offering tools for application developers, said BEA Systems WebLogic Workshop Engineering Director George Snelling. The Java community has traditionally underinvested in development tools and is only now beginning to catch up to what Microsoft has made available, he said.
"Microsoft is actually ahead of the Java camp in a lot of ways," agreed Borland Software Chief Strategy Officer Ted Shelton.
"Right now we're fighting with each other more than any of us are fighting with Microsoft," Shelton added, a comment Ross enthusiastically seconded.
"We've got to remember, we have to advocate for Java as a whole as the platform [for building enterprise applications] before we compete," Ross said.
Money Matters
When he suggests vendors of Java-based applications and development tools spend money promoting the platform, the reply he usually gets is that marketing Java should be the job of its creator, Sun Microsystems, Ross said. That attitude has to change, he argued.
"Everybody who thinks Sun is a great marketing company, raise your hand," he said. Indicating the scant showing of raised hands in the audience, he continued, "Right, and this is the company we're trusting with the marketing of Java?"
Java's marketing issues aren't an insignificant problem, said Borland's Shelton. In a recent survey Borland conducted of "C-level executives," i.e., top corporate officers, the predominant response from those surveyed was "Java is over."
Respondents perceived that Java had been pitched to them as a panacea for everything, and once it failed to deliver on that promise, they became disenchanted with the platform and receptive to the promises of Microsoft's .Net.
"How have we, as an industry, led our C-level people to believe Java was going to solve the common cold and cancer, to the point where they're now so fed up with it? That's the problem we need to solve," Shelton said.
Going Mobile
But not all is bleak in the outlook for Java. One of Java's key selling points is its multivendor support, said BEA's Snelling, an asset that should increasingly attract customers as they take a serious look at the dangers of tying their enterprise infrastructure to Microsoft's proprietary .Net.
"When a large company goes to renegotiate their enterprise licensing agreement for [Microsoft] Office, it's not a pretty sight. All the price power is with Microsoft. Now think what happens when you build your crown jewels, your core enterprise infrastructure, on a single vendor's solution. They can charge whatever they want," he said. "I think the advantage of being in the Java community is our collective agreement not to do that, to innovate and then standardize and compete on implementation."
Although Microsoft may dominate the PC market, Java has the potential to become the leading technology in developing niches that could soon dwarf the sectors Microsoft has cornered, said Simon Phipps, Sun's director of technology evangelism.
"In the mobile industry, Microsoft has so far completely failed to assert monopolistic control," Phipps said. And mobile is the way the industry is heading: There is a vast opportunity to wire cars, appliances and a wide range of other devices, he said.
"All are worlds Java committed to working in. That's the reason I'm not quite as worried as Rick is. Java is delivering in a way no monopolist is able to do at this moment," Phipps said. "Dinosaurs have their days numbered. They'll still be around, but they're going to be perching on the edge of the arena, not stalking in the center of it."
For other PC Expo/TECHXNY product announcements and news, see PCWorld.com's ongoing coverage.
Perfect Print Solutions
Full Windows 7 coverage
- Great year-end deals for small business!

-
Get 24/7 live remote AT&T Tech Support 360* service along with select Lenovo* PCs (with Intel® Core™ 2 Duo processors and save up to 200!
-
HP EliteBook* 6930p Notebook with Intel® vPro™ technology and a free HP Basic Docking Station - $641 instant savings!
- *Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others. ©2009 Intel Corporation. Intel, the Intel logo, vPro and Core trademarks of Intel Corporation in the United States and other countries. All rights reserved.
People who read this also read:
Best Prices on TVs
LN46B500 46" LCD TVPrice: $797.00
LC-42SB45UT 42" LCD TVPrice: $679.00
DX-L32-10A 32" LCD TVPrice: $299.99
UN55B8000 55" LED TVPrice: $2495.00
PN50B650 50" Plasma TVPrice: $1139.99
LN52B750 52" LCD TVPrice: $1773.95
- Perfect Printing Solutions Find just the right All-in-One Printer for you from HP. Visit the HP Resource Center.
- Acer Laptop Center Forget the Mouse...check out the next generation multi-gesture touch screen technology from Acer.
- Dell Shopping Center Check out great deals from Dell!
Cameras
Camcorders
Cell Phones
Components
Desktops
HDTV
Home Theater
GPS
Laptops
Monitors
MP3 Players
Networking &
Printers
Storage







