New Products Offer a Peek Into the Wireless Future
At Comdex, vendors are showing 802.11g tools, but some say the wireless standard isn't ready for the spotlight.
Stephen Lawson, IDG News Service
Vendors at the Comdex trade show this week in Las Vegas will give early glimpses of IEEE 802.11g wireless LAN products, which are designed to deliver as much as 54 megabits per second of bandwidth using the same radio spectrum used by current 11-mbps gear.
Price, along with a longer range, are expected to give the new products an edge over 802.11a gear, which also is designed to have 54-mbps speed but uses a different part of the radio spectrum. The technology for 802.11a hit the market late last year at prices far above those of popular 11-mbps 802.11b networks.
Vendors don't want to be last to get access points and network adapters to market, and some are willing to take a chance and come out with products before the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers finally certifies the standard. Certification may happen as early as March 2003; vendors believe the standard is nearly complete already.
Product Plans
At Comdex, Buffalo Technology (USA) will announce the WBR-G54, an 802.11g router for $199, and a CardBus adapter for $99. Both are expected to be available in December. The company will demonstrate the products privately at the show.
Buffalo Technology, based in Austin, Texas, will replace customers' products if the standard veers far enough from its current state as to require changes in hardware, said Morikazu Sano, vice president of Buffalo Technology. It may also be possible to make any necessary changes in new firmware that could be provided to end users, he said.
"A lot of our customers are waiting for a faster-speed technology for a wireless LAN. We would like to be an early adopter of 802.11g technology--even though it's prestandard--because it's backward-compatible with 802.11b technology, so they can utilize their current investment," Sano said.
Money Matters
As long as they are sure the vendor will support them, users who buy prestandard products shouldn't fear getting stuck with something that doesn't work after the standard is complete, said Bob O'Donnell, an analyst at IDC in Framingham, Massachusetts. (IDC is a division of International Data Group, the parent company of IDG News Service.) However, they may pay a price to be the first on the block, he added.
"By the time the G standard comes out, the card might be even cheaper, so what have you actually gained in the meantime?" O'Donnell said. "They'll sell that to some people who want to get future-oriented, or some small businesses, but it's not going to be a big-business play."
D-Link, another major wireless LAN vendor, will show but not demonstrate an 802.11g product in a private suite, said Bradley Morse, vice president of marketing. The company expects to ship a product in the first quarter of 2003. D-Link is close to choosing a vendor for its 802.11g chip set, he said. A key criterion is the vendor's ability to deliver a large number of chips, because D-Link expects 802.11g to sell in high volumes through retailers soon after its release, Morse said.
SMC Networks plans to announce in January both 802.11g and combination 802.11g/a products. The company is still deciding whether to ship products before the standard is complete, which it expects to happen in March, but it expects the products to ship in volume within the first quarter.
Business Tools
Consumers should be the first to adopt the new products, but 802.11g will also catch on with enterprises, said Sean Keohane, chief executive officer of SMC. For one thing, 802.11g products will have a much smaller price premium over 802.11b--about 25 to 35 percent when products first arrive, as compared with about 300 percent for 802.11a products, he said. Longer reach and a greater ability to transmit through walls also are benefits of 802.11g over the other high-speed standard.
Prestandard products carry a bigger risk with this introduction than with other new networking technologies that have come out in the past, Keohane said. Because wireless LAN products are hot and have plummeting prices, consumers are taking advantage of promotional deals and buying gear from different vendors.
"G is going to be a long-term play, so we want to make sure we don't get off on the wrong foot," Keohane said. "If these things are not interoperable, that's my biggest concern."
In Development
Netgear plans to release products before the 802.11g standard is final, but chip set development hasn't reached the point where the company can predict availability, said Patrick Lo, chairman and chief executive officer.
"If somebody tells you a definite time, don't trust that somebody," Lo said. Netgear is considering five different chip-set vendors and hasn't yet seen parts that meet the reliability, sensitivity, throughput, or range requirements of 802.11g products, he said.
"We don't know how many more iterations these chip vendors have to go through," Lo said. Netgear will privately demonstrate some prototypes at the show.
Symbol Technologies, which makes most of its wireless LAN products for such specialized applications as manufacturing and retail environments, does not expect to release an 802.11g product until mid-2003. If the standard were not signed off by that time, the company might release a prestandard product, according to a Symbol spokesperson who asked not to be named.
Symbol believes users will get more utility from a combination of 802.11b and 802.11a, because those networks don't compete for the same radio spectrum, the spokesperson said.
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