Flashback: Our Best (and Worst) Guesses
Since its inception, <composition>PC World</composition> has run predictions on the future of technology, whether our own opinions or those of experts. Here is a sampling.
PC World Editors
1984
Wow, the initial version of Windows: We admire
Microsoft's Windows 1.0, confidently predicting that it "should have a lasting
effect on the entire personal computer industry." (Windows doesn't really catch
on until 1990's version 3.0.)
1986
Good things come to those who wait: PC World founder David Bunnell tips his hat to Apple, saying, "Steve Jobs will introduce a super-high-end, low-cost machine that will... who cares? It will be wonderful." And he was right--12 years later--with the debut of the IMac.
1987
What about that pesky Web? We sagely tell readers about PC communications in 2000: "At the office, you'll be in command of a 32-bit, bit-mapped PC connected to other computers by a fiber optic LAN.... At home, your PC will be connected to the outside world by one or a combination of the following media: ISDN, cable TV, and existing analog phone lines; and possibly by satellite, FM sideband, or cellular modem."
1990
How mighty is the pen? In our August issue, we are gung ho about pen-based computing. In our story, "Will the Pen Replace the Keyboard in Your Next PC?" we predict the market for these PCs will take off in 1992 and very soon reach millions in sales. That didn't happen. Will it happen for Tablet PCs?
1993
Boy, were we right! In a feature called "The World Class Winners of Tomorrow," we proclaim that the age of the PDA has finally dawned with the arrival of the new Tandy/Casio Zoomer handheld, which barely beats the Apple Newton to market. We laud the $900 Casio Zoomer for its use of character-recognition and pen input capabilities. Although the Newton and the Zoomer did not last into the 21st century, millions of PDAs have been sold since 1993.
1995
Quick plus small: We confidently announce: "Within
five years, CPUs performing up to ten times faster than a 66-MHz 486DX2 will be
available." Zoom! We also predict that you'll be able to store 500MB of data on
a device that is half the size of a PCMCIA card. Five years later, IBM comes
out with its 1GB Microdrive, which fits into a CompactFlash card slot and
occupies less than half the space of a PCMCIA card.
1996
On the money: Long before most of us had even heard of DVDs, Steve Manes in his "Is It World Class Yet?" column accurately predicts: "When it comes to consumer electronics...I like DVD's chances." Manes says he expects that DVDs will have a great future because the film and computer industries both see benefits to the format, and because it offers a relatively inexpensive form of storage. "I like cheap," Manes declares.
2000
But did it crash? In our January cover story "
The Digital Future," we note that Intel is
touting "the Ottoman PC, a high-concept home PC that packs a Pentium III
system, a flip-up LCD, and a wireless keyboard into a funky footstool."
2001
Gee, plasma screens are still pricey: We classify 17-inch LCD monitors priced at under $1500 as surprising bargains, and our quoted experts say prices will tumble to $1000 and then creep back up in 2002. (Oops--by the summer of 2002, some 17-inchers sell for under $500.)
- Sponsored Resource:Improve your network with the right mix of features, performance and pricing.
- Sponsored Resource:Growing your business requires the right tools. Dell's networking servers can help.
- Sponsored Resource:Thinking about a new Laptop? Lenovo has models to meet everyone's needs.
- Sponsored Resource:Twitter: A how-to guide for using Twitter as a business tool.
- Sponsored Resource:Smartphone security threats are on the rise. Is it time to safegaurd your device?
Dell Small Business Servers
Mobile Computing
Featured APC Accessories
-
APC Back-UPS ES
Safeguards your equipment from damaging surges and spikes that travel along your utility & data lines.
- APC SurgeArrest Performance Highest level of protection for your professional computers, electronics and connected devices, as well as provides surge protection.
People who read this also read:
Best Prices on Desktops
iMac All-In-One Desktop - CustomizablePrice: $1694.99
Compaq Presario CQ5210F Mini-Tower DesktopPrice: $379.99
Edge Z30 Midsize Desktop - CustomizablePrice: $1099.00
Pavilion p6240f Mini-Tower DesktopPrice: $649.99
Wind Top AE2010-02SUS All-In-One DesktopPrice: $637.00
TouchSmart IQ524 DesktopPrice: $699.99
- Dell Shopping Center Check out great deals from Dell!
Cameras
Camcorders
Cell Phones
Components
Desktops
HDTV
Home Theatre
GPS
Laptops
Monitors
MP3 Players
Networking &
Printers
Storage









