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Everything You Wanted to Know About Y2K

Some interesting facts about the millennium bug and what's been done to fix it.

The first printed mention of Y2K was made by Paul Gillin in Computerworld on February 13, 1984; the first printed warning about Y2K was issued by Peter de Jager in the pages of Computerworld on September 6, 1993.

* Y2K costs will reach $75 billion, predicted Peter de Jager in the September 16, 1993, issue of Computerworld.

* Y2K repair costs will reach at least $100 billion and may go as high as $114 billion--$365 for every man, woman, and child in the U.S.--reported the U.S. Department of Commerce in November 1999.

* The estimated worldwide cost of fixing the Y2K bug, according to analysts: Cap Gemini America--$858 billion; Gartner Group--$600 billion; International Data Corporation--$300 billion.

Natural and Unnatural Disasters

Comparing the cost of Y2K fixes with the costs of various natural disasters:

* Hurricane Floyd caused infrastructure losses of $82.4 million, insured losses of $50 million, and other losses of about $2 million, officials said, according to a November 30, 1999, Reuters report.

* Initial estimates on the Turkish earthquake suggest it will cost $8 billion to repair the quake's damage, reported the International Herald Tribune on December 2, 1999.

It's Off to Work We Go (and Stay)

* Y2K projects caused changes in vacation policies at 43% of 150 large companies, with 97% restricting December and January vacations. Yet 40% weren't planning to reward information technology staff with money or time off, according to an August 1999 Computerworld survey.

* Westergaard.com reported that only 75% of federal mission-critical systems would be finished by January 1.

* The White House's Y2K Information Coordination Center cost $50 million and was staffed with 200 federal workers.

* 40% of small businesses have done nothing about Y2K, according to the National Federation of Independent Business.

* Testing catches 30% of Y2K bugs, while independent validation and verification catches another 40% to 45%, reported a study by SriSoft.

* How many people were needed to fix Y2K? IBM reckoned that the average large company will spend up to 400 man-years on the problem.

Who's Afraid of the Big, Bad Bug?

* A December poll of 1011 adults conducted by USA Today and the National Science Foundation found that just 7% of Americans said they expected major problems to result from Y2K mistakes, while 55% said they believed the effects will last only a few days. Forty-two percent, a slight rise from previous polls, planned to stockpile food and water; 21% planned to withdraw some money from their accounts; 34% (down from 63% a year ago) expected banking and accounting systems to fail; and 51% planned to avoid air travel on or around January 1.

* A November poll of 400 adults released by Hibernia National Bank in New Orleans found that only 7% of Americans were "very concerned" about Y2K and that only 11% of consumer and 8% of commercial bank customers planned to withdraw extra cash.

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