Netbooks Poised to Surpass Ultraportables
International Data Corp. estimates that about 20.6 million netbooks will ship this year, about twice the number of ultraportable laptops. Ultraportables, which weigh roughly between two and four pounds with screens measuring 13.3 to 11 inches, traditionally make up 8 to 10 percent of the notebook market, IDC analyst Bob O'Donnell, vice president of clients and displays, told The Standard.
But this year, ultraportables are expected to drop to 5.7 percent of the laptop market while the even smaller and lighter netbook rises to 12.3 percent. "Mininotebooks -- which is what we prefer to call them because 'netbook' is an Intel marketing term -- are having a big impact on ultraportables," said O'Donnell.
ABI Research projects even better sales for netbooks -- up to 35 million sold in 2009, rising to a tsunamic 139 million in 2013.
Both netbooks and ultraportables remain ahead of UMPCs, which ABI predicts will sell just under a million this year, three times the number shipped in 2008.
Next year might see a doubling to 2.2 million for UMPCs, but they have seen their day, said ABI analyst Kevin Burden. "They're enjoying a very slow climb, but they're too small and too underpowered," for anything but vertical applications such as healthcare, he said.
The promising new mobile Internet device class of portable, or MID, will ship 5.9 million this year and almost triple to 18.3 million in 2010, according to ABI.
The only portable computer that netbooks have not yet outsold are full-size laptops. IDC estimates about 137 million will sell this year, an increase of 15 percent over 2008.