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AOL-Time Warner: Friend or Foe?
Analysis: Sorting out the merger of two generations of media giants.
Let Them Entertain You
Entertainment is at the heart of this new company, and AOLTV best reflects the synergy of the combined firms. AOLTV is vital to many facets of the company's operations, from interactive programming and video on demand to linking AOL's sprawling online properties to the channel surfers in living rooms across the country.
One feature of AOLTV reduces the TV picture to roughly one-fifth its original size, places it in the upper-right corner of the TV screen, and surrounds the picture with chat rooms and TV-themed Web content. Its program guide groups TV channels in categories such as Movies, News, and Sports. That worries some, who fear AOLTV will push its customers to Time Warner-owned content, whether TV shows or Web sites.
Critics say AOL-Time Warner is pushing the wide-open Internet toward a more restricted model closer to a "walled garden" of AOL-affiliate content and services. The Center for Media Education's director Jeff Chester contends AOL is creating an "Internet lite" that will curtail the Web's rich offerings.
Standards for developing interactive content will likely be a contentious issue, too. Today, Microsoft WebTV subscribers can't access AOLTV interactive content, or vice versa. The content formats remain different, despite calls for an open standard.
Complementing Their Businesses
Depending whom you ask, AOL-Time Warner could help or hinder digital entertainment distribution. Expect Time Warner artists such as Madonna, Jewel, and the Cure to be zealously promoted on AOL access devices--including Internet appliances, handheld devices, and PCs. Also, AOL is developing a Net-based music subscription service. AOL's 26 million members could experience some marketing experiments.
This week, Time Warner's Time Inc. announced the launch of On magazine, an Internet lifestyle and culture publication. Representatives of On say it will target AOL members with subscription pitches and some new AOL members will offered free subscriptions.
There is also some evidence that AOL isn't above killing off innovative technology. For example, when AOL subsidiary Nullsoft innovated a bit too much, the company came down with an iron fist. Its Gnutella program used to let people swap MP3 files over the Internet. When Time Warner executives complained, AOL closed down the project.
Feds Push Choice
The merger's impact on broadband access and competition depends on where you live and which cable company serves you.
Thanks to the FTC, which negotiated a five-year open access pact with AOL and Time Warner, the new company must let at least three other Internet service providers use Time Warner cable modem networks in any communities where AOL launches its own broadband service.
Time Warner's largest cable subscriptions are in New York, the Carolinas, California, Florida, and Texas.
The access pact squelched some fears that Time Warner would lock out competitors from its broadband network, so AOL could hold captive an audience of broadband customers required to use AOL. Competitor EarthLink has already signed an access deal with Time Warner that is seen as a model of deals to come.
Concerns about the deal haven't gone away, however. Some small ISPs, consumer groups, and the American Civil Liberties Union still oppose the merger on grounds that the deal's vast scope could restrict free speech and alter the open nature of the Internet.
Merging these sizable companies is already a momentous task. Now, we have a debate that will likely outlast the argument over who really won the 2000 presidential election. Does the AOL-Time Warner deal herald a new Net century, as Case claims? Or does it simply represent the last vestiges of a dot-com boom?
Stay tuned to AOLTV.
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