'Open' Android May Lose the Apple iOS Wars

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Everyone's sleeping with Android and Appleshould watch out, at least that's the threat on news Acer has also thrown in its lot with Android, hinting at truth in earlier predictions the firm intends releasing an Android 3.0-powered iPod contender of its own as soon as it can (assuming it can source the components).

In an aggressive prediction uttered during an interview with China's Economic Daily News and reported by Digitimes, Acer chairman, JT Wang, said he expects to see the iPad market fall. Though he does think the tablet market will increase to 50 million units per year and Apple to hold a third of that market.

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Acer's chairman did confirm claims Apple's product has incinerated the tablet market, saying the iPad has secured near 100 per cent of that market right now.

Once competing firms manage to build devices as sleek as an iPad running operating systems as effective as Apple's and somehow reach audiences for these devices, things might improve, the Acer boss hopes.

Once the tablet PC market "stabilizes" in that way he expects iPad sales will shrink to "only" 20-30 percent of the market, he said.


The Open Lie

Apple's decision to run the device on the iOS platform continuously opens the company up to accusations it is offering a closed platform.

Competitors argue that the success of Microsoft and its more open partnership model shows that a closed platform will eventually lose to a more open one.

But is this really true?

The long-running anti-trust prosecution of Microsoft showed multiple instances in which that company illegally used its market power to bolster its position and alter natural evolution of the PC market.

To my mind this suggests that if the market had been left to develop naturally without being skewed by Microsoft's proven illegal tactics, then perhaps the historical 'open' v 'closed' argument would not seem quite so compelling.

That some 90 percent of the computers used in the world today are running some breed of Windows OS is not testament to the success of the OS, nor of its partnership model.

Instead it is testament to the true effect of skewing the natural evolution of the PC market, which would be better served through the existence of multiple operating systems, a heterogenous, rather than homogenous beast. That homogenity is almost completely responsible for the high degree of Internet security problems faced by users today.

Security researchers frequently warn that if Mac marketshare grows, then security risks on that platform will also grow. The reverse is also surely true: if Windows share shrinks then security problems will decline.

Polygamy, Monogamy and Private Lives

Android has seen some success in its polygamous model. The OS that's anyone's for nothing is now inside many cellphone models from multiple networks and manufacturers.

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